

C.D.C. Drops Coronavirus Testing Numbers From Its Website (theverge.com) 105
A tally of the number of people tested for the novel coronavirus disappeared from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention website on Monday. From a report: The change was first reported by journalist Judd Legum on Twitter. The disappearance of the numbers comes less than a week after the first cases of the virus with unknown origins were reported in the US. In the past few days, six deaths due to COVID-19, the disease caused by the virus, have been confirmed in Washington state.
If you remove the scale labels on a graph axis (Score:2)
Then you're left with meaningless scribbles.
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You can still get meaningful correlation of multiple items and first order (and beyond) derivatives.
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Oh, you assumed the scale was continuous. :-D
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 12,000,000, 12,000,001 ...
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How about just accurate and informative numbers? I'll settle for that.
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getting your flu shot can protect you from the regular flu and coronavirus.
While I would encourage everyone to get a flu shot, watch your sentence structure because you
probably did not mean to imply that the flu shot protects against COVID-19. It doesn't, just
the hygiene measures do.
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I actually prefer it when people don't write really long sentences that go all the way across the browser which is why a lot of sites have sidebars and or columns to make the text fit into lines. Now if you do have your browser so thin that my post is folding lines too soon, deal with it. I don't care.
Re:If you remove the scale labels on a graph axis (Score:4, Insightful)
i normally don't respond to AC - BUT please stop saying "this this virus isn't bad -> Look at the flu!!"
Yes the flu has killed more people this year, but it has also been around longer and has infected a lot more people. (Last season stats show 0.096% mortality rate over 35.5 million infections...
What is frighting about this virus compared to the flu is that it seems to be nearly as contagious AND it has a significantly higher mortality rate. IF initial numbers hold at 2.2.5% mortality AND the propagation rate of 2.6 - then WHEN this gets across the general population you are looking at 700,000 to 900,000 deaths for the same 35.5 million infections....
So if you want to compare the two, take the time to realize the difference between them.. IF this gets a chance to spread like the flu does, there will be a lot more dead than we are used to..
Also, please wash your hands, you have no idea where the other people using that AC keyboard have been.
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Hospitalization in China (and in some other places) isn't due to medical need, but for isolation. Quarantine works for uninfected, but once confirmed infected, it becomes isolation. And self-quarantine is fine, self-isolation is less reliable and has more complications. So when space is available, the sick, but not dying, fill hospital beds until som
according to plan (Score:1)
Don't test, don't tell
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But pray. Always remember to pray. It's prayer that fixes things, not scientific gibberish.
Well... (Score:3)
that's not very helpful
The number is meaningless (Score:2)
Just because they test someone doesn't mean they are at risk. It is only to contain the spread should one occur... I used to work for http://www.cste.org/ [cste.org] up until May of 2019.
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>>Just because they test someone doesn't mean they are at risk.
Yes, that is exactly what it means, do you expect them to just use every available test kit to blindly test everybody, or to utilize the test kits with discretion when identifying all known contacts of a carrier?
Are you just being paid to astro turf this nonsense?
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Are you just being paid to astro turf this nonsense?
No. But unlike you, I know and understand how epidemiology works. I worked for the company for a few months short of 4 years. Click on this website. [cste.org] Then right click and view source. View line 63 and 64... I wrote that entire timekeeping website for them while I worked there.
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I wrote that entire timekeeping website for them while I worked there.
So you confirm you're not an epidemiologist.
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Now CSTE tracks EVERY thing reportable. You want to know what is reportable???? You can check here. [cste.org] And yes I wrote that website too. Just right click on the page and view source and view line 31. Again you will find my name.
T
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You got me, I am not an epidemiologist, but I worked closely with the Medical Affairs group of a large blood bank in designing their donor hemavigilance and recipient hemavigilance systems during the decade+ that I worked there.
FYI, tests cost money and organizations cannot afford to test everybody for everything. That is why they ask you questions to see if you qualify for the 'normal' panel of tests, the 'additional panel of tests (like West Nile Virus, based on where you live), or if they will not even d
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Again you are clueless and only add to the hysteria that is going on for no reason.
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do you expect them to just use every available test kit to blindly test everybody, or to utilize the test kits with discretion when identifying all known contacts of a carrier?
Optimally, we'd have enough test kits to do both focused testing on clusters and a statistically significant amount of random testing both to give us a real-world false positive rate on the test, and to locate previously unknown clusters early. But not so many test kits that it's overkill on the latter.
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I am fairly certain that there is a shortage of test kits [nytimes.com]at this point in time
Re:The number is meaningless (Score:4, Insightful)
The number is not meaningless.
X confirmed cases.
vs.
X confirmed cases out of Y people tested.
(And don't come back at me with "The number of people tested is meaningless because it's biased toward testing people suspected of having it.". You just said "Just because they test someone doesn't mean they are at risk.".)
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It's totally meaningless. Because X:Y will always be a shifting metric as you point out there will be an inherent bias that not only does favor people who have it, but will swing back and forth.
Initially 99% of the people tested will have it.
Then it'll be like 5% as they start expanding testing massively.
Then as the disease starts to spread widely most illness will be it so it'll be 99% again.
Or at least that's what happened with H1N1. Initially everyone tested had good reason to believe they had it. Th
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Initially 99% of the people tested will have it.
Then it'll be like 5% as they start expanding testing massively.
Then as the disease starts to spread widely most illness will be it so it'll be 99% again.
So you're saying that the public shouldn't need to know when the disease is widespread? Or how effective the government is at handling the situation? I think the public has a right to know when they've run out of test kits, and when their "don't panic" talking point is just pulling the wool over our eyes.
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Still seems pretty meaningless to me. I don't CARE how many were tested. And, given the recent increase in the numbers of test kits distributed out to the states, a current and accurate number of tests administered might be difficult to obtain anyway.
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They are probably trying to prevent further panic that is currently going on right now if they see the number spike.
Trying to prevent panic is what led to the Philadelphia outbreak that triggered the 1918 flu pandemic [twitter.com] that killed more people than WW1 and WW2 combined. They shouldn't be trying to prevent panic, they should be trying to prevent spread.
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That is why the CDC contracts with Epidemiology companies like Council of State and Territory Epidemiologists [cste.org], the company I used to work for, for near 4 years. CSTE is responsible for the spread of the disease.
Trust me, they probably had people in China more than 2 weeks ago.
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You cure the disease by controlling it. Once you control it you eradicate it.
If I controlled the disease, I can think of far better uses than eradicating it...
Well, duh (Score:1, Troll)
Re:Well, duh (Score:4, Interesting)
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The PDF pretty clearly says you cannot use "ACA" and must use "Obamacare", can't use "Marketplace" and must use "Exchanges", and cannot use the words "Vulnerable", "Diversity", and "Entitlement". It does not however say anything on that page about "evidence-based" and "science-based"
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A quick search shows this article: https://thehill.com/news-by-su... [thehill.com] which references this WP article: https://www.washingtonpost.com... [washingtonpost.com], which appears to be the primary source for the story.
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I clicked on the CNN link, and they had a link to a picture of a coversheet and one page of a document in a PDF where I see no verification of your statement.
It is disingenuous to complain that the PDF does not verify the statement when the article never said that the terms "evidence-based" and "science-based" were from the linked document, but rather from "interviews with two officials from the Department of Health and Human Services". The article says:
So which do you all prefer (Score:1, Flamebait)
I am really curious why people would prefer to see a number, which for all governments is just a lie anyway.
Are you looking to see which lie is more impressive so you can compare lies?
I have no interest in such political nationalism when the concern should be spread of infection.
Re:So which do you all prefer (Score:5, Informative)
What a ridiculous claim, that all government statistics are lies. Just because Trump has lied over 16,000 times since taking office does not mean that is normal.
Government is just We, the People. It is only as bad as we let it get, and we always have the power to make it better, if we choose. The people working in government jobs are not especially lazy or corrupt, they are just normal citizens.
You seem more concerned with protecting the current administration than doing anything about the spread of infection. Trump himself would be fine with most Americans dropping dead on the spot, as long as more democrats died than republicans. He's a criminal sociopath with no conscience and a tenuous grip on reality, at best.
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Trump himself would be fine with most Americans dropping dead on the spot, as long as more democrats died than republicans. He's a criminal sociopath with no conscience and a tenuous grip on reality, at best.
He really seems to hate poor people. He loves beating up on them like it's their fault (and not . . . oh, never mind). There will always be poor â" some chronically, and some temporarily due to current circumstances or a run of bad luck. America's social safety net is broken, and people who could get back up after some bad luck are not escaping poverty, but are becoming members of a new wave of educated poor.
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What's it like being an epistemological nihilist? I mean, how do you even know your computer works?
How are you so sure of anything? (Score:1)
What's it like being an epistemological nihilist?
Being an optimistic realist, I wouldn't know.
how do you even know your computer works?
What computer ever really works?
It's easy to know what is in a computer, to know how everything is connected, to know what the connections are supposed to do...
But are you seriously saying a computer has never surprised you?
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The spread of Nationalism is a spread of infection in it's own right.
If it's available elsewhere... (Score:3)
They may be getting it from WHO currently, but If reliable information is available from elsewhere I'd expect worldometer [worldometers.info] to present it.
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It's quaint that you think Slashdot is still somehow on the forefront of journalism. Don't worry, they'll dupe the story in another 10 hours and you'll have another crack at it.
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Of course not. Communists enjoy watching those they disagree with die.
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Limbaugh has stage 4 lung cancer. I'm most definitely not a fan of his. But I wouldn't wish cancer or anything else on him.
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They should go lick some subway poles in Wuhan to prove that this virus is being blown out of proportion by the mainstream media :-)
Failure is an option (Score:2)
Dr. Stephen Hahn, F.D.A. commissioner, Monday March 2nd:
“With this new policy, we have heard from multiple companies and multiple academic centers, and we expect to have a substantial increase in the number of tests this week, next week, and throughout the month,” Dr. Hahn said in a press briefing Monday. “There will be — the estimates we’re getting from industry right now, by the end of this week, close to a million tests will be able to be performed.”
They are apparentl
America will be wiping it's ass, that's for sure. (Score:3)
One thing I've learned from this is that America really, really, really likes to make sure it can wipe its ass. Apparently we're buying TP from Costco and other places by the fucking pallet load.
That and they think a virus will attack our municipal water supply. Better stock up on water, what if it stops coming out of my faucet?!!
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Disclaimer: I am not an EOTW nutjob, I am merely taking the problem statement at face value.
With regard to water supply, imagine the large scale disruption that could result from a million people being sick. Imagine line crews not being able to respond for hours or days to electrical outages caused by the things that cause outages on a more or less regular basis (storms, car accidents, equipment failure, etc). Imagine that water pumps fail as a result of this, or imagine there are pipeline breaks (due to f
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I'd see it the other way around. If the water doesn't work you're basically nearing "the living will envy the dead" territory. The two most important things for the government to keep working are electricity and water. If they can't, we're in beyond deep shit, entering mad-max territory.
A bad cold (that's what this is, a bad cold that kills the elderly and immune compromised at a relatively high rate, and a small number of otherwise healthy people) isn't going to get us there.
That said, once this blows over
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The two most important things for the government to keep working are electricity and water.
It is important for electricity and water to keep flowing, but not very urgent. You can live through temporary power disruptions - it happens all the time, especially if you live in a remote area. Water disruptions are more rare, usually limited to massive floods and other natural disasters, but it happens. In this case it is conceivable (I think unlikely, but plausible) that there will be some outages if many workers are sick or refusing to come to work. It'll still get fixed. It just might take longe
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You should talk to people in Louisiana who lived through Katrina and in New Jersey who lived through Sandy. You will come away with a different perspective on losing power and water.
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You probably also have about 50 gallons of clean water in your water heater. Just remember to shut off the valves once you lose pressure so it doesn't drain away.
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It may be helpful for people to remember that (traditional tank) water heaters provide a ready source of many gallons of potable water in an emergency. Mine holds a mere 50G, but that's enough to keep my family safely hydrated for a good long while. If it's in a location where you can't extract the content from a faucet in the absence of supply side pressure, they all have a drain fitting near the bottom usually threaded for garden hose connection. I have a hard time justifying stockpiling water bottles wit
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If only they had bidets.
Many American's I've met have been very suspicious about drinking water that comes out of the tap. I'm not sure if that's justified where they're from or not.
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Tap water in America is potable, as in it won't give you diarrhea. However, some of the pipes are very old and there can be all sorts of junk stuck inside. They may also contain lead, which was once widely used to seal the pipe joints. Finally, there's fluorine in the water, which is slightly toxic and unnecessary if you brush your teeth with toothpaste.
Surprised? No not surprised. (Score:3, Insightful)
This isn't the first time the CDC has self-censored or outright distorted information.
However it is a great organization with many incredibly smart and principled people in it, providing a vital function. It isn't their fault that they get steamrolled by politics now and then.
And with Trump, it goes to a whole different level. The data that the CDC has clearly contradicts the party line that Trump wants to push. Namely, if there is any victim here it is actually Trump being treated unfairly by the Democrats, the deep-state scientists, and the Corona virus itself and it is all just a hoax.
And if you think Trump isn't really like that, just remember his sharpie on the weather map. This is the same thing but bigger.
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This. Trump refuses to be tethered by reality. He keeps trying to advance the narrative that a vaccine is only months away, no matter what the experts tell him. [msnbc.com]
I half-wonder if he's thinking he'll make a great vaccine. The best. Really classy, delivered in Waterford-crystal vials and marble shipping-containers. And he'll make the corona virus pay for it.
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Here you go: John Hopkin's Counts (Score:3)
I've found this to be the best current situation link.
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/op... [arcgis.com]
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Not sure what you clicked on but that site is showing the total confirmed on the left as 93000 and a summation of all the confirmed numbers underneath it.
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Thanks for this information link. Seriously.
Stopped publishing ... (Score:3)
...when the web site admin said "F*ck it", grabbed his backpack and a rifle and headed into the woods.
Shades of Krakatoa (Score:2)
I hear that the reason Iran is now a hotbed of coronavirus infections is that they had an election coming up and the powers that be wanted their supporters to stick around and vote for them so they'd continue to be the powers that be. So they interfered with reporting of the arrival of the virus.
This reminds me of the reason for the high death toll from the Krakatoa explosion: The volcano was making like it was about to erupt. But there was an election coming up. The people in power were supported mainl
Pence's praying healed them all (Score:3)
Nothing to see here, move along.
Testing tally (Score:2)
Does a testing tally have a point? This is not information that needs to be updated live for the public. It's just a bit morbid, encourages fixation and adds no useful information for everyday living.
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There is. When the number is tiny and not going up despite more and more people dying from the disease, and the government is still telling everyone that we're safe, we know we're all truly fucked.
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It's a measure on how active the government is working to prevent the COVID-10 from spreading (the more people tested means government is working more to find hidden carriers)
CDC good source of truth... better is.... (Score:2)
The CDC website has good information how to combat this virus.
But for understanding what is going on overall and what needs doing next, you are better off with the scientists and other experienced professionals outside the CDC.
Smart, honest science.
https://twitter.com/KrutikaKup... [twitter.com]
https://twitter.com/aetiology/ [twitter.com]
https://twitter.com/ScottGottl... [twitter.com]
https://twitter.com/angie_rasm... [twitter.com]
Advice from the administration (Score:2)
If you stick your head in the sand, you won't catch the coronavirus
A question of trust (Score:3)
More seriously, Trump and the current GOP are incapable of keeping their politics out of ANYTHING. If there was ONE THING that should remain apolitical and under expert/scientific leadership, it's the frikkin CDC. Medically speaking, Pence isn't qualified to handle a bottle of tylenol. Did you see how Trump responded when he was corrected by a qualified scientist? You can be sure THAT won't ever happen again.
It pains me greatly to see that the CDC isn't going to be trustworthy until the coutry's leadership changes. Until then, thankfully there are still other institutions that I trust to give me real information:
My current primary care physician
My local medical school
The World Health Organization
But the CDC is no longer on that list.
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This will be fixed. Eventually.
"What you don't know..." (Score:1)
The CDC, FDA, state, county and city officials are lying to the public because they're more worried about preventing panic at all costs rather than being honest. For example, King Andrew Cuomo blatantly lied about the relative deadliness compared to influenza. He said it was twice when it is actual 30x+. Also, there's Trump calling it a "hoax".
In addition, there is under-reporting going on because of:
Pence (Score:2)
So, Pence thought the numbers looked bad, and were "off message" for the Orange Moron, so they made them go away, right? Message is far more important than reality....
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How's the Euro zone handling it?
Asia?
Africa?
South America?
Even Australia's still getting new cases.
I guess the ISS and Antarctic research stations have a good handle on it (so far).
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